This is often done close to Russian military installations in order to secure against military strikes by Israel, which is also active in the region against Iranian military units, primarily Hezbollah. The scale of the humanitarian disaster in Yemen has surpassed record highs: there are over 100,000 dead, the number of refugees is running into the millions, and the number of people who need external aid to survive has long ago exceeded 24 million, which is about 80% of the country’s total population. In 2001–2011, President Saleh was known to be an important strategic partner of the USA in the region; he lost that status and U.S. support only at the start of the “Yemeni revolution” in early 2011. Meanwhile, with the work of the Syrian Constitutional Committee facing serious hurdles due to the deep divisions among its members, President Assad remains the only symbol of Syrian statehood. The National Dialogue Conference (NDC) that concluded in January 2014 taught us that the “Southern Question” could have a significant impact on Yemen’s political developments. According to many reports, Iranian leaders—nota-bly including Qasem Soleimani, the head of the Al-Quds force of the Islamic Revolution Guard Corps (IRGC)—were instrumental in convinc-ing Vladimir Putin to send his air force to Syria and save Bashar al-As- However, Syria has benefited little from this alliance, and with the ongoing fuel crisis and lack of reconstruction funds, they may choose the path set forth by the Russians. Iran’s foreign ministry has apparently denied reports that a senior Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps commander and three of his escorts were killed in a drone strike on their car near Iraq’s border with Syria. Iran Wants Russia, Turkey to Join in Syria-Style Talks to Solve Armenia, Azerbaijan Fight. Losers: America’s allies. [25] For Western countries and the Russia–Syria–Iran–Iraq coalition ISIS has been a common enemy, although each country has very different friends and opposing views of how to solve the crisis. Deals are made either for Iranians or Syrians, representing Tehran’s interests in Syria – primarily Shiites and, to a lesser extent, Alawites. [7][12] With most opponents, and their western allies, demanding Assad's leaving as a Prerequisite for talks, efforts to find a solution have failed thus far. That round was attended by three delegations: two represented the SA (Ansar Allah and the General People’s Congress, GPC) and one the IRP. On August 31th 2020, King Mohammed VI held telephone talks with Xi Jinping, President of the People’s Republic of China, which falls within the framework of the existing friendship between the two countries, which was strengthened through the signing of the Joint Declaration on the Establishment of the People’s Republic of China. In the civil uprising phase of the Syrian civil war, Iran was said to be providing Syria with technical support based on Iran's capabilities developed following the 2009–2010 Iranian election protests. The Iranians and their supporters regard their presence in southern Syria near the Israeli border as a strategic asset in their standoff with the Jewish State since the Syrian-Israeli border is a very important psychological barrier in the Iranian-Israeli confrontation. Trump handing northern Syria to Turkey is a 'gift to Russia, Iran, and ISIS,' former US envoy says. "[27] On 24 July General Qasem Soleimani visited Moscow[8] to devise the details of the plan for coordinated military action in Syria. [12] According to Assad the countries involved in US-led coalition, themselves support terrorism, thus they cannot fight terrorism. The issue of discovering an anti-“Covid-19” vaccine still raises several controversies, and altercations especially since the kingdom of Morocco issued its participation in the clinical trials of the Chinese vaccine, but without giving any details about how these trials were conducted, or, knowing its initial outcomes. The IRP could no longer be present in the provisional capital, this making the AC’s Saudi wing very vulnerable because the South, which had been proclaiming its loyalty to the AC since the start of the campaign, in this particular instance preferred its rival, the STC, thus taking a step toward a rift. We should not believe that only pre-fabricated scenarios in the spirit of political engineering are capable of ensuring the success of such talks. Vaccine vs geopolitics? Yet, if we take a closer look, these seemingly positive trends are moving in opposite directions and could ultimately generate new clashes. Iran is most actively expanding its presence in many of Syria’s economic sectors. The collapse of the Kuwait talks spurred on the political movement aiming for greater insulation of the South. Turkey today can be the bridge between the West and the Muslim World, mending the deepened rift and launching that new beginning promised by Obama eleven years ago. Losers: America’s allies. [5][6][7] The statement also cited "the increasing concern from Russia about thousands of Russian terrorists committing criminal acts within ISIS."[5]. Russia, China, Iran, Syria and Cuba are among the nations that have come out against the United States' use of sanctions to enforce its foreign policy … Why is the strengthening of the IRP’s actual role in the settlement process important? We … GOD warns Iran (Persia), being fully directed, commanded, and controlled by Russia (Magog), along with a coalition of allies (including Turkey) WILL go to war and will attack and invade Israel. Turkey, Iran, and Qatar have their own alliance in the Middle East, which is mostly focused on the Palestinian cause. Out of these, the cookies that are categorized as necessary are stored on your browser as they are essential for the working of basic functionalities of the website. Image: Castle, Aleppo Aaron Stein, @aaronstein1, in re: In Syria, assuring that Assad stays in power: Iran has heavily invested therein to have influence in government, esp to project power into Israel. Equally important for Russia is the fact that Syria has normal relations with its neighbors, primarily Israel and Turkey. Yet, several states which face similar economic issues, people, and ambiance-based impediments are likely to see China’s vaccines as the obvious choice. And when tested on humans, they also go through three stages; and during each stage, the number” of people subject to testing, so that the effects are discovered. Maybe the reason does not lie in Iran’s hostile influence on the Houthi, which is presumed to have initiated the entire conflict? Russia and Iran support the regime of Syria's president Bashar al-Assad in the country's nine-year war, while Turkey has backed the rebel factions attempting to overthrow him. WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump's abrupt decision to withdraw U.S. troops from Syria will be hailed as a victory in Russia and Iran and a betrayal among Kurdish and … Will Moscow Lead a Historic Reconciliation Between Turkey and Armenia? Many factors of Iran’s presence in Syria raise a lot of questions. By the end of the year, experts, politicians and Yemen’s people have once again started to hope owing to the possibility of a Joint Declaration (JD) on a ceasefire being signed and to the partial lifting of the economic and transport blockage imposed by the command of the Arab Coalition (AC) in March 2015. By the summer of 2014, The Islamic State terrorist organization (aka IS, ISIS, Daesh – all banned in Russia) had taken control of the eastern part of the country, announcing the creation of a caliphate in parts of Syria and Iraq with its capital in Raqqa. Based on speculations, Moscow and Tehran had finally reached an agreement to oust Bashar al-Assad and destroy his cousin's (Makhlouf) financial empire in Syria. Recently, against the backcloth of the developments in Syria, media outlets have increasingly been discussing issues pertaining to relations between Russia and the Islamic Republic of Iran (IRI). For several years now, Israeli warplanes have been striking Iranian and Hezbollah installations in Syria about once a week. [20] According to Russian foreign minister Sergey Lavrov's statement made in mid-October 2015, prior to the start of its operations in Syria, Russia invited the U.S. to join the Baghdad-based information center but received what he called an "unconstructive" response. Not by chance have Russia and the EU spearheaded these discussions and found far more points of intersection than differences during their communications. The Israeli army is seeing, more than in the past, cracks in the three-way alliance of interests between the regime and its two major patrons, Russia and Iran. This category only includes cookies that ensures basic functionalities and security features of the website. In Syria, the Iranians are establishing their military bases in the most strategic areas and building warehouses with weapons, ammunition and material and technical means. The destination of his first foreign trip could even be to Istanbul, to listen and to signal change. [18], The Russian Air Force has used Iranian airbases for refueling namely the Hamadan Airbase. This means that by reviving the armed forces subordinate exclusively to the Syrian state, Russia strengthened not the regime of Bashar Assad, but the Syrian statehood. Russia Wants a Lucrative Diplomatic Victory in Syria. Some, like Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev, saw Iran as a bargaining chip in possible deals with the Western world. The symbolism of a sitting U.S President speaking to Muslims, and not about them, was refreshing and enormously impactful. And, of course, the people of Iraq, who will slip further under Iranian control. During nearly six years of war, the situation on the ground has changed so much that these goals now appear virtually unattainable. Fifty-year-old Makhlouf is widely known for advocating trade with the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Arab world, sidelining Russian business interests in Syria. Under the RA, compliance with the so-called RA military section should constitute the next step; this involves moving all IRP-STC military bodies, consolidated under a united command from the South, and redeploying them in the North to engage the SA forces. But opting out of some of these cookies may affect your browsing experience. This shared Moroccan-Chinese collaboration will allow the Kingdom of Morocco to be among the prior served in terms of the vaccine against the COVID-19 pandemic. That is why, he says, several months of fighting against terrorism, has resulted in spreading it. Russia and Israel maintain close political and economic ties, including permanent contacts at the very top, interaction in the war on terror, in the field of security and intelligence, in the military-technical sphere and in space exploration. He disavowed the narrative of an inevitable civilizational divide. Since March 2015, the IRP has been almost permanently stationed in Riyadh and all Yemen’s domestic political scene could not fail to notice this. Iran and its satellites see Israel as their main adversary in the region. Russia, he said, is determined to weaken Iran’s presence in Syria and is urging Assad to cleave closer to Saudi Arabia. It is Biden’s turn now. This analysis of commercial satellite imagery at Tiyas Airbase in Syria indicates the scope and proximity of Russian and Iranian military ties. According to Western assessments, Israel has taken advantage of the novel coronavirus crisis to intensify its activity against Iranian interests in Syria and its pressure on Tehran. There were objective reasons – mainly the tense political situation in Lebanon – that necessitated Hezbollah’s pullout from Syria, of course, but there is no denying Russia’s positive role in this. Russia is contributing heavily to the reduction of tensions between Israel on the one side and Iran and its satellites on the other. Published Mon, Oct 7 2019 8:48 AM EDT Updated Mon, Oct 7 2019 2:20 PM EDT. In addition to the unrecognised authorities in Sanaa, including the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), which controls the greater chunk of the territory in the North, home to three-quarters of Yemen’s population, the STC led by General Aidarous Zubaidi has been active in the South and, with the UAE’s support, has gained such influence that even Saudi Arabia, leader of the AC, has to take it into account. For example, in the capital Damascus, one can see a lot of advertisements and shop signs in Persian (Farsi). In particular, Gantz said Israel would not tolerate the deployment of the Iranian Khordad and asked Russia to pressure Iran not to send the anti-aircraft weapon to Syria. Oct 24, 2020 09:19 UTC. The Iraqi Quartet Committee on Intelligence Exchange and Security Cooperation with Iran, Syria, and Russia was established in Baghdad in 2014, with the membership of the countries’ military affiliates and Iraq’s representative. Hezbollah is one of the most powerful actors in the Syrian conflict. Moreover, the Iranians are actively handing out various economic and financial privileges to many Syrian demographics, above all Alawites and Shiites, in the form of humanitarian aid, and carry out large-scale propaganda and PR work, and with good results too. In 2020, the UN mission in Yemen focused primarily on the urgent new situation that emerged on the eastern front of the military operation in the North as the SA’s forces advanced against the centre of the Ma’rib Governorate. That being said, the situation in Syria remains very much in the focus of attention of analysts and political scientists. Biden will need Turkey’s assistance to strengthen NATO to meet new regional challenges, especially with Russia, as well. Although Turkey’s human rights record is not perfect and its democracy has been tested since the failed military coup of 2016, the government has shown commitment to democratic principles, and its institutions and civil society continue to be lightyears ahead of Egypt, Saudi Arabia and elsewhere in the Middle Eastern. This was the STC’s principal motive in declaring the South a self-governing territory in order to combat AQAP and IS, banned terrorist groups adhering to the ideology of so-called jihadist Salafism. [12] The United States, along with its NATO and Arab allies, all of which have been hostile to the four countries and Hezbollah since the start of the Syrian civil war, have criticized this coalition. [12], Other than being a crucial thoroughfare to Hezbollah in Lebanon, Syria has been the only consistent ally for Iran since the 1979 Islamic revolution in Iran. Every surprise foreign actors have faced and will continue to face in Yemen proves that the Yemenis themselves have equally rich potential for independent creative activity. This analysis of commercial satellite imagery at Tiyas Airbase in Syria indicates the scope and proximity of Russian and Iranian military ties. Even so, let us suppose that the parties make progress in finding solutions to all these problems. More likely, Yemen’s unique political culture, its adherence to common values and common sense, will kick in. Iran needs a win against Israel and all it is getting in Syria is an endless string of defeats. Here we will interrupt General Chvarkov and recall the words of President Assad, who said that the restoration of the infrastructure of the Syrian Arab Republic would cost around $400 billion, which, according to his estimates, will take from 10 to 15 years. In 2020, the expert community has demonstrated unprecedented unanimity in focusing on clearing the hurdles blocking a Yemen crisis settlement: the community has been hoping to prevent the disaster from growing into an unprecedented humanitarian and political collapse that would have even more profound and detrimental consequences for Yemen and all neighbouring regions. World International Affairs Iran Russia Turkey. Syria's complex and devastating civil war has drawn in multiple foreign powers since it broke out in 2011. In 2019, Russia’s trade with the Jewish State stood at $2.25 billion, while with Iran – only $ 1.59 billion. Major damage has been done to the artificial irrigation systems that form the material foundation of the thousand-year-old civilization of this unique country, and this damage will continue to prevent Yemenis from going back to their customary lifestyle for years to come. Trying to save the situation, General Soleimani pays two visits to Moscow in late July and early August 2015, to discuss the situation in Syria. The IRGC is setting up all kinds of staging posts and warehouses for Hezbollah, which accumulate and store weapons and ammunition, including for further transportation to Lebanon. The chaos in the conflict zone cannot be overcome without a cooling down of the geopolitical passions that attract an expanding circle of foreign actors. Moscow is fully aware of this and despite various views about Bashar Assad’s political future, is making every effort possible to strengthen Syria’s sovereign status. Interests Section of the Islamic Republic of Iran in the United States, Organization of Iranian American Communities, United States involvement in regime change, United States and state-sponsored terrorism, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Russia–Syria–Iran–Iraq_coalition&oldid=990828296, Iraqi involvement in the Syrian Civil War, Articles with unsourced statements from August 2020, Articles with unsourced statements from November 2015, Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike License, This page was last edited on 26 November 2020, at 18:53. In 2015, the Syrian government forces, the military contingent of Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), led by General Qasem Soleimani, the Lebanese Hezbollah, as well as the pro-Iranian multinational Shiite formations suffered a series of serious setbacks putting in question the very existence of President Assad’s regime. Istanbul has become a hub of diaspora intellectual activism. As of November 2020, the situation around Yemen’s port of Al Hudaydah, the largest on the Red Sea, continues to balance on the verge of a disaster, with all the military and humanitarian risks subsisting and augmented by a new environmental danger threatening the entire Red Sea basin: over a million barrels of petrochemicals might leak into the sea from the Safer floating oil storage facility built in 1974 and moored at Al Hudaydah. Additionally, if the current IRP’s government signs the JD without waiting for a new government, including the STC to be formed, the JD’s legal status will be flawed. The IRP alone has the legal right to make sovereign decisions that the global community has to take into account since it recognised the IRP in 2015. Though, Chinese vaccines have a competitive price and making capacity, allowing developing countries like Morocco a way out of the pandemic as fast as possible. The main difficulty in implementing the RA is that its signatories, the IRP and the STC, are unwilling to look for ways to align their contradictory views of Yemen’s future. They have been holding similar meetings since 2017 as part of what is called the Astana Process. The IRP can spearhead initiatives for ending the war. The STC also claimed that the IRP had been influenced by the Muslim Brotherhood (banned in Russia as a terrorist organisation) as part of the Al-Islah. This agreement provides for forming a government with their joint participation. [9] In October 2015, it was suggested[9] that the Russian operation in Syria may have been devised during the visit by Qasem Soleimani, commander of the Iranian Quds Force, to Moscow in July 2015, which was then denied by Russian officials. It appeared to many the world was changing and with American leadership, the global community was embarking on a new era of understanding between East and West. It was Tehran that provided emergency assistance to President Bashar Assad, preventing his overthrow by the opposition forces.
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